Ellington Office Business Bay / Insights
Office or residential: where Dubai property investors are looking in 2026
For most of the last few years, residential has been the default route into Dubai property. In 2026 the picture is more mixed, and offices have become the stronger part of the market.
What the data shows
CBRE's review of the second quarter of 2026 found Dubai office rents up 13% year on year, with prime rents up 16% and occupancy around 94%. Over the same period, the residential market moderated as demand softened and new supply eased pricing. JLL recorded a 24.6% rise in office rental contract registrations, driven mainly by new leases.
Why offices are outperforming
The main reason is supply. Residential developers have launched large volumes of new homes, while quality office space has been slow to arrive. Grade A space in the main business districts is scarce, and new buildings are often pre-leased before they complete.
How the two compare
- Yield: Grade A offices in Business Bay are projected around 8% gross, against roughly 5% to 7% commonly cited for design-led residential stock.
- Tenants: office tenants are companies, often on longer leases, while residential tenancies are typically annual.
- Costs: commercial property carries 5% VAT and may need fit-out; most residential purchases do not.
- Liquidity: apartments usually resell faster. Larger office units, particularly full floors, suit buyers with a longer horizon.
The wider context
None of this is risk free. CBRE expects a marginal contraction in the UAE economy in 2026 because of regional geopolitical disruption, before a strong recovery in 2027. Offices have held up because the supply shortage is structural, but a slower economy would test demand.
For investors who already hold Dubai apartments, a well-located office can diversify income toward corporate tenants and a part of the market with tighter supply.
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